|
Editor's Rant
2006 has
been an interesting year. With a change of leadership in Congress, we will need
to monitor their policy initiatives since it will have profound effects for
your wealth-building pursuits. Since I am not finished with my analysis of what
to expect from the new Congress, I will hold off until more data comes in. My
initial impression can be boiled down to a "net negative" so far. For
more actionable information, stay tuned.
The year
has gone by so fast. It is a pleasure to share with you some important points.
Guess what was the top performing investment vehicle? Hint: we encouraged you
to buy it early in the year. That's right. Silver! Here's how the major market
barometers (along with gold & silver) stacked up as of the end of 2006:
|
|
Jan. 1, 2006
|
Dec. 31, 2006
|
Gain%
|
|
DJIA
|
10717
|
12463
|
16.30%
|
|
NASDAQ
|
2205
|
2415
|
9.50%
|
|
S&P 500
|
1248
|
1418
|
13.60%
|
|
GOLD
|
513
|
636
|
24.00%
|
|
SILVER
|
8.83
|
12.85
|
45.50%
|
In spite of
the impressive gains of the Dow, Nasdaq and the S&P 500, two of our
favorites bested them handily! I think that 2007 will show continued strong
performances for precious metals and commodities in general. Again, stay tuned
for more details that can have a profound effect on your prosperity.
Regards,
Paul Mladjenovic
201-585-0239
paul@mladjenovic.com
Last
note from Paul
Feel free
to pass this issue of the Prosperity Alert along to others. Encourage them to
get their own free subscriptions at www.SuperMoneyLinks.com.
The next issue should be out by early January. I will reveal some forecasts
that may be very profitable for you. Stay tuned!
I WISH
ALL OF YOU A FANTASTIC NEW YEAR. MAY IT BE SAFE, HAPPY & PROSPEROUS FOR ALL
OF YOU
Prosperity Network's Advanced Options Workshop -- Saturday, January 13,
2006
My next
advanced options workshop will occur on January 13, 2006. The last group of
attendees got some powerful strategies to help them either protect or build
wealth. I will share strategies that are low cost, low risk and high profit
potential. For more details, feel free to contact me directly at 201-585-0239
or go to the following for more info:
Prosperity
Network's Advanced Options Workshop
January 13,
2006. Full details & registration at...
http://advancedoptions.eventbrite.com/
You can
also email me at paul@mladjenovic.com
for more information. There is strictly limited space so register soon. I
guarantee that you will see & hear powerful options strategies that others
have paid thousands to learn! Attendees will also get a information-packed
resource CD and my private wealth-building forecasts for 2007.
Potpourri of points, tips & quotes
* When you
get a chance, go read the following article (hopefully the link will stay
alive):
"Silver
is the top pick for 2007 but trade carefully"
http://www.ameinfo.com/105584.html
The
interesting point about the article is the audience that it is intended for.
The website provides financial & economic commentary to the middle east. If
only a fraction of that region's wealth poured into silver, how high could it
go? As the world wakes up to your editor's current favorite metal, 2007 could
witness some tremendous fireworks for silver that could possibly exceed it's
45% rise in 2006. it should be interesting to watch.
* The
Korelin Economics Report (with Al Korelin and Paul Warren).
If
you want to hear some great commentary on commodities, financial markets, etc.
Consider the weekly Internet radio program The Korelin Economics Report found
at www.kereport.com. It is on MP3 and
usually updated every weekend. Check out the Dec. 30 edition for a nice wrap-up
of 2006. You'll also hear some great commentary by Roger Wiegand and Jay
Taylor. Jay Taylor was the keynote speaker at Dec. 2nd's Financial
Vortex and he is featured on the newly released DVD (see next section).
Financial Vortex - the DVD!
The reviews
are still coming in. Financial Vortex was an unqualified success! Fortunately,
for those that couldn't attend, it is now on DVD. We have some of the best
speakers in the country giving us some insight into their economic views &
forecasts for 2007 and beyond. To hear and see the greats such as Jay Taylor,
Peter Grandich, Noel Jameson, Charles Nedoss & David Corsi all in one
source is indeed priceless. The Financial Vortex 2006 DVD has nearly four hours
of valuable commentary. To get the DVD and the accompanying Financial Resource
CD (a total of three information-packed Cds) Send a check for $100 (NJ
residents please add $7 for sales tax) to: Prosperity Network, Box 1883, Fort Lee,
NJ 07024.
For credit
card orders, call us at 201-585-0239.
(to remind
you what happened at that great conference, go to www.FinancialVortex.com)
Peter Schiff on the looming problem in the mortgage industry
Peter
Schiff writes some great stuff and I've had the priviledge of running an
occasional essay in past issues. This essay is reprinted with permission and it
offers some food for thought for would-be real estate investors
Sub-Prime Disaster In The Making
By Peter Schiff
December 26, 2006
A
report released this week by the Center for Responsible Lending, a Durham, N.C.
based research group, predicted that 1 in 5 sub-prime mortgages originated in
the past two years would end in foreclosure. While most on Wall Street
dismissed this survey as overly pessimistic, it actually represents a rather
rosy outlook.
One
of the report's deficiencies is that it fails to account for how
the foreclosures it does expect will impact those loans that it
regards as safe. A 20% default rate would put millions of homes back on
the market, and would also inflict severe losses on sub-prime lenders, causing
them to pull in their horns and tighten their lending standards. More
inventory and higher rates will put more downward pressure on home prices.
Many over-stretched borrowers, who made little or no down payment, will
find themselves struggling to make mortgage payments on properties with
negative equity. Higher rates and lower prices will also remove the cash
out options that many borrowers expected would bail them out of ballooning
adjustable rate payments.
Therefore,
the secondary effects of the 1 in 5 sub-prime default rate will be a chain
reaction of rising interest rates and falling home prices engendering still
more defaults, with the added foreclosures causing the cycle to repeat.
In my opinion, when the cycle is fully played out we are more likely
to see an 80% default rate rather than 20%.
The
main problem is that the majority of these loans were made to people who
really cannot afford to repay them and were collateralized by properties whose
true values were but a fraction of the loan amounts. Once the music stops
and prices return to earth, borrowers who put little or no money down may decide
to simply mail in their house keys rather than make additional mortgage
payments. Why would anyone stretch to spend 40% of his or her monthly
income to service a $700,000 mortgage on a condo valued
at $500,000, especially when there are plenty of comparable rentals
that are far more affordable?
In
addition, even those who can comfortably afford to pay may choose not too.
Basically, zero-down, non-recourse mortgages give borrowers a free put
option should real estate prices decline. The bigger the drop, the more
incentive there is to exercise. Rather than throwing good money after
bad, borrowers could simply return their over-priced houses back to their
lenders and buy one of their neighbor's deeply discounted foreclosures instead.
Also,
the idea that sub-prime foreclosures will not affect the broader market is
absurd. These loans simply represent the weakest links in the
mortgage/housing chain. Once they break the entire chain falls
apart. The added demand from these marginal buyers helped produce and
sustain the bubble. Remove it and the bubble deflates. Also,
falling home prices and rising interest rates effect every homeowner, and
the temptation to walk away from an upside down mortgage is not restricted
to sub-prime borrowers.
Don't
wait for reality to set in. Protect your wealth and preserve your
purchasing power before it's too late. Download my free research
report on the powerful case for investing in foreign equities available at www.researchreportone.com , and subscribe to my
free, on-line investment newsletter at
http://www.europac.net/newsletter/newsletter.asp
Peter
D. Schiff, President
Euro Pacific Capital, Inc.
10 Corbin Drive, Suite B
Darien, Ct. 06820
phone 203-662-9700
toll free 888-377-3722
email schiff@europac.net
web www.europac.net
Business Vortex - the DVD too!
The
Business Vortex ran on December 3, 2006 and the folks loved it. Fortunately it
was recorded and is made available on DVD. For anyone that wants to sincerely
make money in a home business, part-time or full-time, then the Business Vortex
is for you. If you want ideas or profitable strategies, then the Business
Vortex conference really is for you! The presentations covered health &
wellness, mortgages, real estate as well as marketing & sales. You'll hear
Paul Mladjenovic, David Corsi, Ted Sudol, Dale Siegel, Dennis Bollier and Erik
Luhrs. Full conference details can be read at www.FinancialVortex.com.
To get the
DVD and the accompanying Business Resource CD (a total of three
information-packed Cds) Send a check for $50 (NJ residents please add $3.50 for
sales tax) to:
Prosperity
Network, Box 1883, Fort Lee, NJ 07024.
For credit
card orders, call us at 201-585-0239.
Essay from Roger Wiegand: Phase Two of the Great Gold and Silver Bull
Cycle Begins
It was a
great disappointment that a major snow storm kept one our scheduled Financial
Vortex speakers from attending. Roger Wiegand. No one was more disappointed
than Roger. He is a true professional that provides valuable insights. Roger
gave me permission to reprint this essay. Find out more about Roger Wiegand at www.tradertracks.com.
PHASE TWO OF THE GREAT GOLD AND SILVER BULL CYCLE BEGINS
By Roger Wiegand
December 26, 2006
"Everything
in the world may be endured except continual prosperity." - Johan von
Goeth 1749-1832.
"Cycles
and rhythms of life are normal and somewhat predictable. Prosperity, recession
and periodic depressions are standard and necessary corrections adjusting for
irrational exuberance occurring in each of these cycles. Those cycles are
especially mandatory and visible in a capitalistic society. Free market
conditions will spill over and affect socialism and communism as well. Our
latest cycle which marked the beginning of another 60-70 year K-Wave was
temporarily blocked by Alan Greenspan using too easy credit for housing. When
the Nasdaq crashed in 2000, all markets should have followed suit. They were
not permitted to do so as the Federal Reserve washed a sea of cash over sinking
markets in an astounding trillion dollar give-away to American consumers.
This bubble has burst, sales have stopped and the housing ATM is sinking with
consumer borrowers who were used by it. There are no more new
bubbles for Benny Brenanke and Hank Paulson to create. Now its correction
time coming with a vengeance." --Traderrog
If we had
infinite prosperity like Alan Greenspan, Ben Brenanke and our Federal Reserve
would prefer to instigate, prices would rise forever and consumers would stop
saving money. Standard procedure would be to spend it all now and working
capital would soon be erased. The nasty conclusion is unpaid debts and no
business growth for the future. Diluted fiat currencies feed this situation
until finally consumer and business confidence wanes and then finally, all is
lost. The German example of this hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic
during 1922-1923 was a famous economic historical event. Other more recent
examples are Brazil, Argentina and other Latin American nations.
Bank
reserves would have to be constantly replenished which is what we see today in
the current borrow-and-spend environment. Americans are given easy or
ridiculous credit terms and they immediately spend all the money. Asia provides
the stuff and we continue to buy it with both hands. On-going credit
inflation now demands $2 Billion per day of new borrowed cash to keep this
bankrupt SS United States afloat. Consumer and business borrowing are
added to these government debts. This does not even count the trillions of
unfunded debt attributed to Social Security, Medicare, the Pension Reserve
Trust and the future Act Two version of the Resolution Trust needed to save the
15,000 crashing banks taken down by lousy real estate loans. Last year we
crossed a threshold of no return as our trade balance has exceeded the point
where all traveling this road meet the identical ultimate fate-currency
destruction by hyper-inflation.
As measured
in current numbers no country or society has been able to regain its economic footing
once the hole was dug this deep. The cave-in is coming but no one knows
the trigger or the when. This week Thailand's green-horn, 60 days on the job
lady Treasury Secretary tried capital controls to block currency speculators.
She did many billions of damage in 24 hours and immediately had to rescind
parts of the proposed new capital controls. Just last week our wise colleague
Jim Turk warned of this event coming in 2007. Seems like we got the early 2006
test example this year instead. Like Napoleon said in our letter last week,
"In politics stupidity is not a handicap."
The United States
has experienced several major depressions since its founding in 1776. The
Revolutionary War was basically fought on a shoe string and the first Treasury
Secretary of our nation used his own fortune and credit to help pay for that
war and get our country on its first feeble monetary legs. Most of these
following recession-depression events appeared after wars which created
destruction of all kinds. The early depressive events in the 1800's
through and including the Great Depression of the 1930's lasted from 7 to 11
years in length with the average being roughly 9.5 years.
The first
one in the 1800's was just after the war of 1812 and lasted about two years.
This time span doesn't fit the 7 to 11 year cycle but shortly after 1814 things
appeared better only to be crunched again with a severe depression in
1819-1821. The next one was officially 1837-1838 but the USA economy was in
very poor shape from 1835 to nearly 1845. There was a mini dip of
scary intensity in 1857 and then a prolonged down period after the Civil War
for most of the 1870's. In the 1890's, the recession-depression lasted
from 1892 through 1898. Smaller recessions were reported in 1914-1915 and 1920-1922.
Those
1800's events except the later Panic of 1906 appeared during periods following
wars, minor conflicts and major turning points in commerce and business. These
turning points coincided with new inventions, newer ways of doing business and
the dawn of the industrial revolution in America. The common thread was
severe change somewhat like the advent of the internet in recent times. The
panic of 1906 was in many respects an early example of what was to come in
1929-1940. This panic was a genuine Wall Street crash as liquidity had vanished
in a cascade of stock selling after market confidence slid over the
cliff. This event was quickly repaired by J.P. Morgan and his banker
friends as he forced them to re-liquefy the stock brokers thus saving the
day. This Panic was blamed by many for the birth of the notorious United
States Federal Reserve which is not an official government entity as supposed
by many, but a private cabal of USA bankers now holding the money power of God
in our land pushing the cost and manufacture of dollars, bonds and notes
wherever they choose. So, in 1913 began the grand experiment in fiat
money and the American inflation monster was born.
1920-1940
is Replicated by 1990-2010 - After 1922 commerce had recovered from WW I and
its aftermath. Germany was not so lucky but the USA was insulated from them in
the 1920's for the most part. When America got moving in the early 1920's
the growth came with a rush. A goodly part of this new boom was being
financed by a massive inflow of gold from abroad as our nation embarked upon
the boom of the century.
A common
theme in all of these negative economic events has been:
- An
excessive amount of loose capital being invested in fixed hard assets and
illiquid paper assets. Cash was not king but owning lots of illiquid stuff
was.
- Speculation
in stocks, commodities, and real estate has been also a consistent market
driver for excess gambling in all sorts of businesses as well as the Las Vegas
traditional type.
- Overall
effect of these massive investments has been to tie-up real cash and
liquidity causing participants to become asset-heavy and cash poor.
Immense pressures of too much cash chasing too few good investments
created historic inflation. The bell rings when the buying stops and all
values begin to decline. There is no escape as there are no buyers for all
this over-valued stuff.
- Not so
much in the 1920's but more common from 1812 through 1906 there were
several dislocations in currencies somewhat comparative to Germany in the early
1920's. These create instability and are not cured over
night.
Before 1930
several untapped and very market rich opportunities opened with the railroads,
modern machinery, development of natural resources, and sudden increases in new
gold reserves which greatly expanded available credit. Time payments were not
much of a business before the 1920's. A nice home in 1900 cost about $2,500 to
$5,000 and home owners usually saved 100% of the money to buy before doing so.
Twenty-five years later in the 1920's boom, buying on time was "the
thing" and it spread like wildfire. This expansion of consumer credit was
a contributor to the 1929 event but not a primary one.
When big
trouble arrived in 1929-1932, real estate speculation in Florida's land boom
had been part of it as was the final Wall Street event which opened the
crashing flood gates.
Where are
we in 2006?
- We took
the time to revisit this history to explain there is nothing really new
today compared with those events preceding 1929.
- Credit is
way too free and easy.
- Money
seems to have less value each day.
- Inflation
while not of the hyper-variety is trending in that direction.
- There is
too much big cash liquidity sloshing around on the cheap for hedge funds
and New York take-over artists to promulgate their trade.
- There is
a very wide disparity between a handful of very rich people and the poor
with a vanishing middle class. This is common before major market
corrections.
- Trade
wars and tariffs are on the table. These threats are uttered almost daily.
- This is
the usual "Me first" nationalistic mentality. Putin scared
Europe with his gas shut-off and Ms. Pelosi our new Demo leader is
threatening China with 27% tarrifs. The Middle Eastern gang threatens oil
shut-offs and currency transfers out of the U.S. Dollar.
- Business
ethics have collapsed in the past few crazy years destroying entire
companies and wrecking others with misplaced trading ideas. Enron
and a few early hedge fund failures are evidence. Those boys managing that
$6 Billion natural gas fund debacle were just all re-hired by Goldman
Sachs to have another go. Others are Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the
still hidden Farm Home Loan operations. The list goes on and on.
- Then, we
have the forever war in Iraq which appears to have degenerated into a
worsened civil war threatening to destabilize the entire Middle East with
Iranian and terrorist aggression. Crude oil will be used as a major
weapon. Do not believe otherwise.
The stock
market low from 1921 to the 1929 high was more than 500%. Interestingly, the
percentage of increase is comparable to our modern day pre-crash rally of the
Nasdaq.
We do
technical analysis and are always looking for historical comparisons. In
checking the 1928-1929 top, we discovered the preceding eight year rally run
was so powerful it took nearly 18 months to form the technical top before it
all dumped over. Usually these tops can form and sell in much less time. Today
in 2006, our fellow colleagues and analysts have kept predicting the tip-over top
and it keeps extending! This was the big story before the 1930's major
league event.
Another
interesting situation was the large amount of foreign loans made by the USA (both
public and private) for war restoration in Europe but also throughout several other
nations as well. This was the first time big money in large amounts was loaned
outside of the USA. From 1919 to 1930 the total exceeded $15 Billion
which was massive bucks in those days. Please note that over 1/2 of this money
went into portfolio investments where there was zero American management of
those funds. Sound like China?
Domestically,
America by 1929 had discovered most of the newer investment frontiers and
there were not enough new trading or investment ideas to swallow all the
available capital that was being tossed around. Does this sound familiar? Today
we have the same problem but it's probably 1,000% worse since Japan's carry trade
and our dollar printing have escalated credit to legendary new heights.
Exactly 80
years ago in 1927, as in our forth-coming 2007, real estate and construction
were and are in the soup followed by major inflation. At this cycle juncture
people are getting tense with bad credits, lack of cash, higher prices, and
failing installment sales of several kinds with questionable erratic stock
markets.
Here comes
the big one: In 1927 when it was obvious business and commerce was slowing
dramatically, THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS BEGAN TO BUY GOVERNMENT SECURITIES. It
seems there is nothing new in this world at all.
Also, in
1927, it was reported and generally believed by the American public that the
Federal Reserve purchases were taken to PREVENT LARGE EXPORTS OF GOLD FROM THE
BANK OF ENGLAND TO THE UNITED STATES. INTEREST RATES IN ENGLAND WERE HIGHER
AT THE TIME. THIS RATE DIFFERENCE AND THOSE POTENTIAL GOLD SALES
WERE CONSIDERED A THREAT TO UPSET THE TEA CART ON BOTH SIDES OF THE POND. Is
this de-ja vu all over again or what?
In 1928 the
Federal Reserve was openly trying to discourage speculation. In spite of their
efforts stocks went on a wild buying spree in spring of 1927 which spilled over
into 1928-1929. The markets kept advancing and as the "easy money"
became common street talk, the explosive pinnacle appeared over the
horizon. This open craziness by the public at large surfaced in 1928 but
in May of that year the market had a severe correction (Like May 2006 or will
it be May, 2007?)
A common
phrase in later 1928 was that the country was experiencing a "profitless
prosperity." Today Wall Street observers and players deem it a
profit recession or a "Goldilocks Economy" somehow masking
Goldilocks' terminal illness. The Federal Reserve tried to reassure the public
in later 1928 that despite gold exports following a discount rate reduction in
fall 1927, our nation still held gold worth over U.S$1 Billion. Period analysts
checked for gold exports and found few if any and decided this announcement was
public relations talk to reassure the Sheeple. We certainly know all about this
today don't we?
In November
of 1928 the stock exchange reported its first of five, six million share
trading days. Watch for this kind of similar volume to precede the next
blow-off top. From August of 1929 through the fall, this was the beginning of
the end as speculation and gambling fever in the markets was virtually
uncontrolled. The initial crash lasted two months and was followed by a rally
of six more months into the spring of 1930. After that the markets sank into
oblivion.
One largely
unnoticed fact was the idea these markets had mostly recovered by 1936. This
was not the case however, and those that had re-entered with fresh buying in
1934-1935 were smashed for a second time in 1937. That one had to be the mother
of all "Dead cat bounces." Is 1937 to be replicated in
2007? The timing sure looks identical to us. During the past year or so,
we have read several remarks from our colleagues that 1934-1936 closely
resembles 2004-2006. Can this be true? We have seen some overlay charts
for both cycles and they are very close in appearance.
There is a
strong uneasiness and undercurrent in the markets; especially among the older
experienced traders and New York market guys. We could name some well known
guys but are not allowed to do this. For the most part they choose not to
be negative as they don't want to scare the Sheeple or their investors.
In watching their body language accompanied by extraordinary semantic
dancing we can tell these boys smell a rat and they are getting very, very
nervous.
Traders
should shorten their time horizons in our view as volumes and volatility
increase. Use trading stops and do not over trade. Buy physical gold and silver
and make yourself, your friends and family as secure and protected as possible
by being independent of the system. As we used to say in the Boy Scouts;
Be Prepared! - Traderrog
Roger
Wiegand is Editor of Trader Tracks recommending trades for gold, silver and
energy markets using futures, commodities, stocks and options.
2007 - Here We Come! By David Vaughn
David
Vaughn is a great writer. It is a pleasure to get his permission to reprint his
recent essay on what he sees coming in 2007. Find out more about him and his
expertise at www.goldletterdv.com.
Well, the year
is drawing to a close so let's examine how gold has done for 2006.
Gold for the
year is up around 20%. The Lipper Gold Mutual Fund Index is up around
33%. Not bad I think. And the serious gradual fall out for the US
dollar has begun. The real estate meltdown has begun and continues to
gather momentum. We have a new congress coming into office that will
begin making changes that will contribute to higher long term gold prices.
The following
article below came out in the past couple of weeks or so and many readers are
asking for comments. First of all let me state that I find the article to
be ridiculous. The article asserts that we have something to fear from China.
This is first of all ridiculous because for 100 years I do not believe we have
ever seen one aggressive act come from Asia against the interests of the United States.
I believe I am
correct in this.
Asia is our friend and buddy and never have they in any way
threatened or harmed a single American hair. So why should we even begin
to suspect that they would take advantage of us now simply because they hold a
1 trillion mortgage over our heads today? Really, can you believe some
folks? These guys and gals like us and are our friends and want to help
every single American boy and girl to prosper even at the expense of his or her
Asian neighbor. Anyway, below is the ridiculous article full of Asian
slander I am referring to. Read the article with the understanding that this could never contain an ounce of truth though.
"the Chinese government has informed
visiting Bush Administration officials they intend to dump One TRILLION U.S.
Dollars from China's Currency Reserves and convert those funds into
Euros!" "China told the U.S. delegation they no longer have faith in
U.S. Currency for several reasons:
1.
The Federal Reserve Bank ceased publishing "M3" data in March, making
it nearly impossible for anyone to know how much cash is being printed. China
said this act made it impossible to tell how much a Dollar is worth.
2.
The U.S. Dollar has lost upwards of thirty percent (30%) of its value against
other foreign currencies in the recent past, meaning China has lost almost $300
Billion simply by holding U.S. Dollars in its reserves.
3.
The U.S. has no plans whatsoever to reduce deficit
spending or [the] ability [to] pay down any of its existing debt without
printing money to pay it off." "For these reasons China has decided to
implement an aggressive sell-off of U.S. Dollars before the rest of
the world does so. China reportedly told the US delegation; "we are the
largest holder of U.S. Currency and if the rest of the world unloads theirs
before we unload ours, we will lose our shirts." click
Anyway, the
above article can simply have zero truth to it because the Chinese like us and
would never desire to hurt us in any way. It's simply ridiculous to
assume that they are one day going to call in the mortgage they hold over this
country. The truth be told I am sure the Chinese folk are trembling in
their boots. The United States is economically invincible and will never
fail. Just can't.
"Uranium prices surging. $115 a pound
predicted for 2007" "well-respected Australian based research
organization Resource Capital Research, which specializes primarily in the
uranium sector among other minerals resources, has predicted spot uranium oxide
prices rising to $115 a pound during 2007. According to RCR's latest quarterly
review of the market, analyst John Wilson states: "Forward indicators
suggest the uranium price is heading to US$90/lb by mid 2007and US$115/lb by
September 2008, an increase of 75% over the current spot price."
"The upward revisions are largely driven by the expected impact to the
uranium market of delays at the Cigar Lake project (Cameco) in Canada." click
The following
reader email below comes from Denmark with a very good question.
Dave,
"I'm trying to figure out what the US government
will do with its current debt situation and future unfunded liabilities
time-bomb" "Unfunded liabilities are now at about 44 tril. How
will the US eventually pay this, keeping in mind that amount grows
significantly each year, much faster than receipts? Will the government
A) cancel these social programs altogether, or B) keep inflation high to erode
the liabilities to zero (please see xls for some quick calcs - am I way off?),
or C) just roll with it forever/until an major asteroid hits Earth?"
James M. Denmark
Well, I think we
can answer James from Denmark with the following email comment from another
reader below.
David,
"Once we were amused by inflation. It
only happened to banana republics and the Germans of long
ago." "Now we depend on inflation. It raises the stock market
but we call it a bull market. It raises the price of a house but we call it
wealth creation." Tom N.
Tom, just
answered what the long term solution to all US dollar problems will be.
More inflation. It is simply the only way the US government will ever
even hope to handle the escalating US dollar mess. And higher inflation
ultimately is what contributes best to a rising gold price. Do you begin
to see why gold bugs are so confident of long term rising gold prices?
Are readers
making money investing in uranium stocks? Read the following email from a
happy reader and I will let you decide.
Good morning David,
I have enjoyed reading your articles,
particularly with regards to Uranium over the last few months"
"In April 2005 I invested in a small Western Australian based Uranium
company called" "With the announcement of successful
diamond drilling this week the split share price climbed as high as $2.16
making my investment now worth $13,000,000; (thirteen million
dollars)." "The initial 20 cent stock is now worth approx
$6.48." "this is just the beginning." "very few
people understand what is going on with the Uranium price and have failed to
take advantage of it. WHAT ARE THEY WAITING FOR?" Michael V.
Good question to
ask Michael, "What are people waiting for?" But my experience
is that most folk generally have this instinctive internal timing mechanism
where by they wait for a market to top out and then they jump in. Always
happens that way and always will. That is why those that prosper are
always in the minority because they think outside the box and are willing to
jump in and take worth while calculated risks when they present
themselves. The stupid just sit back like idiots and wait for the rain.
Hi David,
"just read your article as published on
xxxx." "your insistence on uranium made me buy a few of the
companies out there and needless to say, I am seeing 20-30% in last few months
and hope and expect a good deal more." "is uranium still so unknown
by wall street people? I am surprised Mr. Kramer of TV fame has not been
there pushing" TKS
Yes, yes, yes to
the following question below!
"is uranium still so unknown by wall street
people?"
And for the
above reason is why uranium remains the buy of the century still.
Hi David
"I enjoy reading your articles and I
share your views on subscribing to a few good newsletters."
"After watching and reading the opinions of many different newsletter and
industry commentators I have singled out about four that I really trust.
They are: Paul Van Eeden, David Morgan, Doug Casey and Jim Dines." Cheers.
Have a wonderful Christmas. Jason, Calgary, Alberta
Good choices,
Jason.
"Uranium spot prices will continue to
rise into the New Year, hitting $90 US per pound by mid-2007, according to a
report by Resource Capital Research." "It projects the spot price
could hit $115 US per pound by late 2008. Resource Capital said junior uranium
miners are seeing strong interest from investors, with Canadian companies
like" "are forecast to continue to outperform the sector" click
Gold Letter
emails reviews of undervalued gold, silver, uranium and other resource stocks
that are under valued.
Click
here to order Gold Letter
Send me an email if you have time to write over the holidays. Seriously!!!
David Vaughn
Gold Letter, Inc.
David4054@charter.net
“Stock Investing for Dummies” the 2nd edition is now available!
The 1st edition came out in 2002 and was rated by Barrons, the financial weekly, as
one of the top ten investment books that year (out of 300 books). With
updated information and new insights into the stock investing environment for
2006, the 2nd edition is even better. You can order your copy at:
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An Internet Announcement
A new e-commerce web portal www.SuperMoneyLinks.com
was developed by the great professionals at www.NexWEB.com.
They are a top-notch team that I have joined forces with to bring Mladjenovic content to the web.
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Tell them Paul sent ya!
Thank you
for reading this issue of the Prosperity Alert. Feel free to pass this along to
others (unchanged, of course) or encourage them to get their own free
subscription at www.SuperMoneyLinks.com. The
next issue will be in your email inbox sooner than you think.
Regards,
Paul Mladjenovic
Email: paul@mladjenovic.com
Tel: 201-585-0239
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