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Editor`s Rant - Prosperity, Terrorism & the Nov. 7th Election
The campaign season ends
this Tuesday on November 7, 2006. Thank God! The politicking is driving me
crazy but if you`re serious about building wealth and ensuring greater
prosperity, you have to watch very closely. I have no idea who will control
Congress but I can only hope that the next Congress will do things such as…
1.
Control or
shrink the size of the federal government (Yes…this is a pipedream)
2.
Maintain and/or
make permanent the recently enacted tax cuts (I`m keeping my fingers crossed).
3.
Continue a
strong stance against terrorism (more crossed fingers).
4.
Enact no more
intrusive legislation regarding our lives and our businesses. (I think my eyes
are also crossed by now).
Items number 1, 2 & 4
directly relate to your prosperity. Item #3 may seem out of place in this
newsletter but I assure you that it will affect your prosperity. More
importantly, it may affect your life and lifestyle in an adverse way.
The Iraq war, the general middle
east situation and the worldwide war with terrorism is a hotly
debated controversy in our country. I hear and read all the rhetoric on both
sides and it is quite disconcerting. As a country, we are not united against
terrorism and we are not focusing on how grave a situation it really is. We need to
know what we are dealing with. We need to know what we are facing and
what danger is facing us. There are two things that I want you to read and share
with the people that you love. Please visit the following:
1)
The website www.thereligionofpeace.com.
2)
Read the
September 2006 issue of Imprimus (from www.hillsdale.edu)
at http://www.hillsdale.edu/imprimis/2006/09/
Both
of them offer a compelling and disturbing view of what we are facing. Whether
we stay in Iraq or not, whether we are unified or not, we have enemies that
will not stop until we are dead. As husband and a father of two small boys,
this is a very serious concern to me. I hope it is to you and to everyone on
the political landscape this election season. To hell with popularity! We must
do the right thing. Vote accordingly. Enough said!
I
wish all of you and your loved ones the blessings of safety and prosperity.

Financial Vortex 2006
December 2-3, 2006
Profit from the coming Megatrends & Meltdowns
Dear Fellow Wealth-Builder,
Let me tell you the
best money-making tip that you`ll hear this year
Attend the
2nd annual Financial Vortex on December 2 & 3, 2006. The
speakers and strategies that you will encounter will turbo-charge your
wealth-building prospects.
If you
don`t believe me, ask any serious attendee from the last year`s Financial
Vortex. Many have told me that Financial Vortex had a powerful impact on their
bottom lines.
Here are
some specific forecasts from that first annual event
The Housing
bubble would burst (it did)
Gold would
continue its bull market (it soared from $400 to over $600)
Energy would be
a profitable sector (it was)
Silver would
keep flying (it went up 100% in the next 12 months)
Because of
these profitable warnings & forecasts, attendees made great money. They
gave us comments such as
"It was the
best conference I have ever attended"
"I totally
changed my approach to investing and increased my net worth"
"I tripled my money with precious metals"
I created
last year`s event because I wanted to alert people to not only how to profit from what is
unfolding with the economy & financial markets, but more importantly how to
protect yourself from the problems that are growing and becoming unavoidable.
18 months later, the problems become more imposing
Bankruptcies and
foreclosures continue climbing
The US
trade deficit continues its record-breaking pace
Total US debt (consumer,
mortgage, corporate, etc.) is higher than ever
The worldwide
derivatives market surpasses $400 trillion
Enemies
(Iran, Venezuela, etc.) continue to threaten us (embargoes, etc.)
Social Security
& medicare liabilities continue to grow exponentially
Issues such as
terrorism and illegal immigration threaten our economy
The money supply
(and the world population) expands alarmingly
And other major
issues too numerous to cite here.
What
happens when one or more of these issues erupts into a economic catastrophe?
What will happen to the country`s economic health? How about YOUR economic
health?
It is
inevitable that many of these problems will have a severe impact. Will they
affect YOU? Directly or indirectly, they will. It is better to prepare now.
Those that are prepared and make some simple changes to their financial picture
will not only be able to avoid problemsbut also profit from them. How about
you? The Vortex is the best place to start preparing for what will unfold in
the months and years to come.
Last year`s
Vortex was a great event and a hard act to follow. Until now! I am thrilled
with the agenda this year. We have the good fortune of getting many of last
year`s speakers back and we have some new ones that`ll knock your socks off!!
Look at this fantastic line-up
JAY TAYLOR : The keynote speaker. He`s a
world-class analyst and commentator giving us his profitable insights on the
markets
PETER
GRANDICH : A
top-notch market pro known for his stellar forecasting record with gold and
related markets
ROGER WIEGAND : A widely read market analyst with
his surprising views on silver and what he expects for 2007
DAVID CORSI : A crowd favorite from last year,
David will tell us about real estate`s prospects for 2007 as the housing bubble
continues to deflate
PAUL MAMPILLY : The Founder of Capuchinomics and
a true hedge fund pro that will tell us what the economy may hold for us next
year
NOEL JAMESON : A long-time market veteran will
present us with money-making strategies you can use with Exchange Traded Funds
(ETFs)
CHARLES
NEDOSS : Chicago`s finest
futures broker comes back with some wealth-building strategies you can use
in the coming months with futures.
I invited
these pros to speak at the 2nd annual Financial Vortex because they
are among the best at what they do. They are "class acts" and they know the
markets and the dynamics that drive them. In addition, I have tremendous
admiration and respect for their abilities, their knowledge and their
integrity. To have all of them in one place and at the same time is priceless.
Think about itfor the cost of a New York dinner, you get a valuable education
in just one day that could make you a fortune in 2007 and beyond!
FREE
BONUS #1: All
attendees will get the proprietary Financial Vortex CD. It is loaded with
financial information and educational audio which includes a mini-seminar on
wealth-building from Paul Mladjenovic, the Financial Vortex event creator.
FREE
BONUS #2: This
bonus is only available until November 26, 2006: All attendees that register with the
Financial Vortex by November 26th will get one free pass to
Sunday December 3rd`s Business Vortex! The Business Vortex will show
you ways to make money with your own home business (part-time or full-time) in
today`s economy. Separately, the admission price for the Business Vortex is
$49.
Financial Vortex - the details:
Event name: Financial Vortex
Date: Saturday, December 2, 2006
Time: 10:00am : 5:00pm (includes 1 hour for lunch)
Place: Holiday Inn, Route 4 East, Fort Lee, NJ
Cost: $195 per person (the Business Vortex is an additional $49).
For couples, the second person can attend at half price.
To register, call us at 201-585-0239 or email us at paul@mladjenovic.com.
Or fill out the following coupon and mail it (by November 20, 2006) to:
Prosperity Network, Box 1883, Fort Lee, NJ 07024
----------------coupon
--------------------------------------------
__ Yes! I
want to attend The Vortex on Dec. 2-3, 2006. I am paying
__$195 per
person for Financial Vortex (Dec. 2)
__$49 per
person for Business Vortex (Dec. 3)
(For
couples, the 2nd person can come at half price)
(Full
registration details will be sent back via email)
Total
payment is $______
I am paying
by
__Cash
__Check __Visa __Mastercard __Amex __Discover
Card#_______________________________________
Exp. Date______
Authorize
with signature > _____________________________________
Print:
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__________________________________________
Address___________________________________________
City__________________________
State______ Zip _________
Day
telephone# __________________________________
Email:
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Thank you!
If you have any questions, feel free to call us at 201-585-0239.
Economic
Warning from the Comptroller General of the United States:
The
following is an excerpt from a speech entitled "America At a
crossroads" by the Comptroller General of the United States (October 23,
2006. The full text of the speech can be found at www.gao.gov). It is a
government document in the public domain so no permission is necessary to
reprint it.
America`s Fiscal Outlook:
All of the
challenges I`ve discussed are important, but arguably the most urgent challenge
overall today is America`s deteriorating financial condition and fiscal
outlook.
Our fiscal
challenge overarches every major public policy spending and tax issue. In my
view, America now faces not one but four interrelated deficits. These deficits
have serious implications for our role in the world, our future standard of
living, nd even our long-term national security.
The first
deficit is the federal budget deficit. As you probably know, federal budget
deficits have reappeared in recent years. It`s no mystery why: Spending is out
of control, and we`ve seen a series of major tax cuts. While this year`s
deficit was lower than last year`s, it`s premature to start rejoicing. Our
unified and operating budget deficits are still imprudently high given our
approaching demographic tsunami of spending. And both the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) have predicted next
year`s deficit will rise sharply.
But the
short-term deficit isn`t our primary challenge. Instead, it`s the federal government`s
increasing liabilities and unfunded commitments that are the real problem. I`m
talking about things like the growing unfunded commitments for Social Security
and Medicare. In fact, the estimated total U.S. fiscal burden has soared from
about $20 trillion in 2000 to about $46 trillion in 2005. This burden is
growing at the rate of at least $2 trillion to $3 trillion each year.
The $46
trillion figure translates into an IOU of about $411,000 per American
household. Keep in mind that in 2005 the average annual household income in
this country was only about $45,000.
By 2040, to
close our fiscal gap, our government will have to raise taxes through the roof
or slash many federal programs the American people now take for granted. In
reality, the impact will be felt long before 2040. Independent sector
organizations, such as those you represent or support, may well be faced with
the prospect of taking up a good deal of the slack.
The second
deficit is our savings deficit. The savings rate for U.S. consumers has been
falling for some time. In calendar year 2005, for the first time since 1933,
the annual personal savings rate in the United States sank to negative
territory. Think about it. We`ve returned to savings levels not seen since the
depths of the reat
Depression.
America now has the lowest overall savings rate of any major industrialized
nation.
Clearly,
many Americans, like the federal government, are living beyond their means. Too
many of our friends, family, members, and neighbors are living for today and
not preparing for tomorrow. This trend is particularly alarming in an aging
society such as our own. Obviously, those Americans who save more will live
better in retirement. And given the problems plaguing our public and private
retirement systems, personal investments are becoming even more important to a
person`s retirement security planning.
The third
deficit is our country`s balance-of-payments deficit. America is simply spending
more than it`s producing. In 2005, our trade deficit hit $726
billion, up more than $100 billion from a year earlier.
Finally,
there`s our fourth deficit, and it`s probably the most serious and sobering
deficit of all. What I`m talking about here is America`s leadership deficit.
At both
ends of Pennsylvania Avenue and on both sides of the political aisle, we need
more individuals who have the courage to speak the truth, no matter how
unpleasant that message may be. We need more individuals who are prepared to
challenge the status quo, work together, and forge consensus for real and
lasting hange. We need more individuals who are willing to make tough choices
that are in the long- term interests of our nation and its citizens.
Unfortunately,
not enough key policymakers are concerned about America`s growing fiscal
imbalance and the other long-term challenges I`ve mentioned. Calls for real
reform or shared sacrifice have been few and far between. So far, we`ve heard
far too much rhetoric and seen far too few results.
What we`ve
got going here are the elements of a perfect storm, a potent mix of ignorance,
apathy, and inaction throughout large parts of American society. Our current
indifference to fiscal discipline and these other major challenges can`t
continue. If it does, a crisis isn`t a matter of "if" but
"when" and how bad.
Great Quotes (Oct 2006):
"The first-born baby boomers
are turning 60 this year, and they and their little brothers and sisters will
soon have their hands out for the Social Security and Medicare entitlements
they`ve been promised. But the boomers represent an extraordinary bulge in the
age profile of the U.S. population. The bulge means that the share of the
population receiving government retirement benefits will grow, while the share
of the population paying for them will shrink. To paper over this gross
imbalance and still keep the entitlement checks going out, deficits will have
to increase at a stupendous rate—and the engine of monetary creation will have
to ramp up to entirely new and increasingly dangerous levels." Doug
Casey
"The urge to save
humanity is almost always only a false-face for the urge to rule it." H.I.
Mencken
"The many woes that
afflict our nation are rooted in the morally bankrupt paradigms of socialism,
interventionism, and empire that have held our nation in their grip for decades
and that the only real solution to such woes is libertarianism." .Jacob
G. Hornberger (www.fff.org)
"Most of the people in
the upper income brackets are not rich and do not have wealth sheltered
offshore. They are typically working people who have finally reached their peak
earning years after many years of far more modest incomes : and now see much of
what they have worked for siphoned off by politicians, to the accompaniment of
lofty rhetoric." .Thomas Sowell
Social Security : Guest
commentary from Lisa Scrivanich, financial analyst
The
following piece was written by Lisa Scrivanich, a junior financial analyst that
is majoring in finance at Ramapo college. She interned with my firm this past
summer and she is sharing some of her research on retirement & Social
Security here:
The problem
with Social Security for future retirees
Retirement
for today`s baby boomers has a much different future than generations past.
Only a generation ago, individuals counted on Social Security as a major source
of their retirement income. However, under the current system, Social Security
will begin to run a deficit that will only grow with each passing year. It will
be impossible to maintain current benefits and tax rates if the program
continues as it has been. The problem with Social Security lies in the
pay-as-you-go system. When Social Security taxes are deducted, the current
generation is not saving for themselves, but rather their money is going
towards current retirees. When the system was created there were 16 workers
contributing for every one retiree. Presently, there are only 3.3 workers
contributing to each retiree. In 2008, baby boomers will begin to retire and by
2030 the number of retirement age individuals will double to 70 million. The
ratio of workers to retirees will further narrow, and in the coming years there
will be only two workers contributing for each retiree. The system is very
dependent on how many people are currently working and how many are retired.
There are
three central methods to solve the Social Security deficit that is looming in
the near future. The first would see a significant increase in payroll taxes.
Another option would be to cut benefits. The government could also use revenues
from other areas to assist the Social Security program. The last major option
is for people to privately invest part of their Social Security taxes. We could
see one or a combination of the above measures implemented. Any changes made
will severely affect younger generations. Benefits will be dramatically slashed
or possibly eliminated altogether. The Supreme Court ruled in Flemming v.
Nestor there is no legal right to Social Security benefits. However, the
government has assured those individuals already retired as well as anyone age
55 or older will not see any change in their benefits. Yet for all those under
age 55, there is no longer a guarantee what retirement will look like. It is
imperative to continue, or perhaps begin, to save for retirement outside the
means of government programs.
You`ll meet
Lisa at the Financial Vortex since retirement planning will be covered that
day.
Prospering from the real
estate bubble by David Corsi
Over the
past few years the talk has been that the heated real estate market was due for
a slowdown and possible bursting of the bubble. In the last 6 years real estate
(from raw land to large commercial properties) prices have risen significantly,
appreciating at approximately 14% per year. thereby prices have doubled.
Recent data
seems to be bearing out the slowing of the real estate market. Housing starts
are down significantly while the number of unsold houses has risen
dramatically.
As all
experienced investors know, what goes up will come down. A correction was
inevitable and necessary. The real question is how far the downturn will be. It
can range from the "soft landing" scenario (demand softens and the prices stay
flat or take a slight dip) to a big drop in prices and demand along the lines
of the Texas real estate down turn in the late 1980`s, (50% or more).
Last year
an article in "Fortune Magazine" titled "Real Estate Gold Rush" told the story
of several real estate "investors". The one thing that can be determined from
this article is that the greater fool theory is alive and well. These
"investors" all believe that the properties will continue to go up unabated.
One investor casually mentioned that he was running a negative cash flow of
$3,500 per month, of which he was not concerned, as he "is in it for the
appreciation". Well the appreciation has stopped and all indications are it
will be heading downward. By how much is anyone`s guess at this point. Below we
will look at the indicators that will determine the size and scope of the
correction. Incidentally, the folks mentioned in the article are not
"investors" but "speculators". There is a world of difference between the two.
What
follows is a list of factors that will go a long way towards determining what type
of correction occurs.
1. The
Appreciation Factor : With the huge surge in appreciation, the chance of a
large drop in prices as the market softens becomes greater. Over the past
several years` properties in many areas of the nation have doubled and in some
cases nearly tripled in value. This is not realistic or sustainable. Sooner or
later the affordability factor will have to kick in. This is what is happening
now.
2. Interest Rates - As the
Fed raises interest rates, fewer people will be able to afford to purchase a
home. This decline in demand will cause prices to stabilize and begin a
downhill descent.
3. The
Overall Economy : If the economy (either local, state or national) softens,
which can be due to anything from the Feds over tightening credit, to a rise in
unemployment, a local decline in industry, natural disaster, etc. Even though
interest rates are still low by historical standards, the huge price tag on
even entry-level homes, has led to an extremely low affordability rates. In California,
less than one in five potential homebuyers can afford the median priced home.
The national mortgage default rate has been climbing steadily over the past few
years.
4. Easy
Money : As the Feds tighten credit, many borrowers are already
over-extended. A large percentage of borrowers have opted for "minimum pmt,
interest only and adjustable rate loans. Many of these loans will leave the
borrower with no loan pay down and/or negative amortization. Negative
amortization occurs when the borrower makes a monthly payment that is below
what the payment should be. The difference between the minimum payment and what
the payment should be is added to the principal, leaving the borrower owing
more than they initially borrowed. To illustrate: assume the loan is for $100,000
@ 6% for 30 years. The monthly payment should be $600. However the borrower
opts for the minimum payment option of $400 per month leaving a shortage of
$200 per month. At the end of 10 years borrower would owe $124,000, $24,000
more than they initially borrowed. This is just one illustration. If rates rise
dramatically, borrowers with low teaser rate adjustable loans will also be in
for a very unpleasant surprise. If this happens property values will not be
able to be sustained and will decline.
5. The
Mortgage Broker : As interest rates rise, mortgage lenders have kept the
mortgage interest rates from rising in a parallel sequence. The mortgage
industry has been reducing their profit margins to keep the demand for
mortgages strong. As the Feds raised rates, mortgage brokers lowered their mark
up to remain competitive. Because of this their earnings are declining and as
mentioned above they are tightening up their underwriting standards. I would
suggest keeping a close eye on the financial reports coming out of the biggest
players in the mortgage game, namely Washington Mutual, Countrywide as well as
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. If you see their fortunes dampen, you can be sure
it will be an industry wide problem. When mortgage companies can no longer absorb
these rate increases, their charges will increase, thereby dampening
affordability and demand for homes.
6.
Government Intervention : Last but not least, how the government (at all
levels, particularly the State and Federal) reacts to the correction will go a
long way in determining how long the downturn will last. Politicians are
notorious for overstepping. Will they create another "RTC"? Will they start
pressuring the Fed to lower interest rates? This may have the effect of the
financiers of US debt moving their money to other alternatives, which will lead
to huge tax increases. In turn, tax increases will lead to decreased economic
activity and rising unemployment.
The
combination and the interplay of the above factors will determine how strong
the correction is. Wise investors should keep a close eye on these factors so
they will be able to weather and profit from the downturn. Foolish investors
will be bitterly disappointed. As the market softens opportunities will abound
for the astute real estate investor.
At the
Financial Vortex Conference we will discuss how to take advantage of these
opportunities in a safe way. There will not be any rags to rich tales, but
solid practical information that beginning and experienced investors will be
able to profit from. Topics will include:
* The
Three Stages of a Real Estate Correction and How to Profit From Them
*Distress Sale Strategies
*Investing vs. Speculating
*Finding the Money to Fund Your Deals
*Landlording the Right Way
*Creative Financing
*And Much More
Hope to see you there.
David Corsi
is a full time investor with 23 years experience. He is the past president of
"The Metropolitan Real Estate Investors Association" and co-Hosted a call in
radio show "Let`s Talk Real Estate" in the 1990`s. He will be a featured
speaker at the Financial Vortex conference coming Dec. 2.
The
following article is by my favorite real estate expert, David Corsi. See him at
the Vortex next month:
TED BUTLER COMMENTARY
October 31, 2006
A Red Flag?
(This essay was written by
silver analyst Theodore Butler, an independent consultant. Investment Rarities
does not necessarily endorse these views, which may or may not prove to be
correct.)
The good news is that the
price of gold and silver has advanced, as expected, due to the washed-out
Commitment of Traders (COT) structure. The bad news is that, so far, the
advance appears garden-variety in nature, namely, speculative buying and more
dealer short selling. While the overall level of dealer short selling in silver
is not excessive, the concentrated net short position of the 4 largest traders
has grown to levels not seen in six months. Their net short position has grown
to 37,421 contracts on the COMEX. Throw in the 5100 contracts held net short on
the CBOT by, most likely, the same big 4 traders and the combined net short
position is more than 212 million ounces. Talk about concentration.
Clearly, the big shorts are
not covering. They don`t cover much when prices decline and they certainly
don`t cover at all when silver prices advance. I still think they are trapped,
but that makes them more dangerous, not less, and more likely to try and rig
sell-offs. Whether they succeed is anyone`s guess. But if they do succeed, no
one should be surprised.
I`d much rather write about
the long-term situation in silver because that`s what investors should be
focused on. But we live in the short term as well and it is the concentrated
short position and the ongoing manipulation that determines daily prices. A
friend of mine refers to it as "The Curse." The curse is knowing full
well where silver is going to end up eventually, but not knowing when or how
the big move will start. For now, we must live with the reality of the
super-concentrated short position.
But that`s not the only red
flag flying in silver. An extraordinary development has occurred at the
NYMEX/COMEX. This development is unusual and may be unprecedented. Their Chief
Financial Officer/Chief Operating Officer (CFO/COO), Jerome Bailey, has
suddenly resigned. Any time a CFO suddenly and unexpectedly resigns, great
attention is paid to what caused the resignation, since it may signal a serious
problem with the organization. For a CFO to resign just prior to a planned
initial public offering is downright shocking. I doubt if anyone reading this
has ever witnessed it before. I know I haven`t.
Of course, there are many
possible explanations that would not signal a problem within the organization,
in spite of the extraordinary timing, and every reasonable effort must be made
to discern the truth. Is he ill, was he fired, did he quit, and if he quit, why
did he quit? For the answers we rely on public information and facts. When the
documented information and facts run out, then we are forced to rely on
speculation. First, let`s look at the facts.
Mr. Bailey was recruited
and hired by the NYMEX, as CFO/COO. In March 2006. He came with impressive
credentials. He was, successively, over the past two decades, a partner at
Price Waterhouse, a controller and managing director at Morgan Stanley, the CFO
at Salomon Bros, and Salomon, Inc., the CFO at Dow Jones & Co., and the CFO
and Director at Marsh, Inc. (Marsh and McLennan). Each of these companies is
larger than the NYMEX/COMEX. The terms of his employment contract indicated he
was hired in anticipation of the NYMEX`s initial public offering (IPO) of
securities. (All this information can be confirmed on www.nymex.com and in the NYMEX`S SEC filings).
In my opinion, Mr. Bailey had better credentials that the combined credentials
of the entire NYMEX management team.
There can be no question as
to the suddenness of Mr. Bailey`s departure. His signature appeared on an SEC
S-1 Registration statement on Friday, October 20. Two business days later, on
Tuesday October 24, his termination and release agreement were signed and
recorded. From a reading of that agreement, it does not appear that Bailey was
fired or quit because of illness http://www.nymex.com/media/8KA102706.pdf
It appears he pulled the trigger and wanted out in a hurry. The key aspect to
the release was a $500,000 extra payment to not speak badly of the NYMEX.
The central question is why
did Bailey resign so suddenly? You would think that this is the question
regulators and the underwriters would be asking. Whatever explanation you come
up with, why couldn`t it wait until after the IPO? The only answer I can come
up with is that he left so quickly to eliminate some personal liability that he
foresaw. Remember, he was also looking at a very big post-IPO potential payday
that could have netted him many millions of dollars. Here`s where the facts end
and the speculation must begin.
Please keep in mind that
this is my speculation only, and I could be way off base. What follows is
purely my personal opinion on a theory that explains this very unusual
resignation. I think this is silver related and the timeline seems to fit. I
think Bailey was an outsider at the NYMEX and may not have known about the
allegations of the silver manipulation. Certainly, I never wrote to him, as I
have repeatedly written to other NYMEX officials.
When I wrote the article,
"You Make The Call" on September 19, many hundreds of you wrote to
the SEC, asking them to insist that the NYMEX respond to my silver manipulation
allegations, as befitting a Self Regulatory Organization (SRO). I think the SEC
took your concerns seriously (as they indicated in their individual replies)
and would have, as a matter of course, asked the NYMEX about your concerns. I
believe that as a result Bailey, as CFO/COO, may have learned about these
allegations for the first time. Since some seat holders on the NYMEX are
extremely likely to be the same traders holding the concentrated short position
the possibility for conflict of interest and manipulation would be clear. The
NYMEX is a self-regulating organization where the investigators into
accusations of manipulation could be the very same traders doing the
manipulating. This would be obvious to an honest man. Bailey investigated, may
not have liked what he saw, and left to avoid any personal liability.
I think we`ll know soon if
my speculation is close to the truth or not. I can only emphasize that anything
that promises to expose the silver manipulation can have an explosive effect on
price. There is only one thing standing between the current price of silver and
a free and much higher price : the concentrated short position. If that
concentrated short position did not exist, there would be no manipulation.
Period.
A while back, I wrote that
the planned IPO of the NYMEX could have a profound impact on the price of
silver. I didn`t elaborate then, but I will now. I don`t care if the NYMEX goes
public or not. I think it`s a win/win for silver either way. A public company
gets much more scrutiny and regulatory oversight than a privately held company.
I don`t believe this silver manipulation can survive much more public scrutiny.
The NYMEX has chosen to ignore the allegations and hope they go away. I don`t
think that`s going to work.
In the lead-up to the IPO,
the NYMEX has been forced to reveal facts that I am sure they would have
preferred keeping private, like the details of Bailey`s resignation. The
revelations will not stop there. As a publicly traded company and an SRO, I
believe the allegations of the silver market manipulation will take on a new
meaning.
I have come to the
conclusion, unfortunately, that the CFTC will continue to ignore the silver
manipulation. That dog just won`t hunt. I`m still hopeful that the SEC is up to
the task.
The
following essay is reprinted with permission from James Cook (www.investmentrarities.com):
Do Tax Cuts Cost the Government Money?
October
23, 2006
Whenever tax cuts are discussed in Washington, the media and most politicians
use the phrase, "cost to government." "How much will this tax cut cost the
government?" we are asked, as though some crime is being contemplated when we
consider reducing taxes. The American people have every right to fund the
federal government at whatever level they deem acceptable, and if they choose--
through their elected representatives-- to reduce that funding level, they are
not somehow injuring the government. If Congresses passes a new law that results in
you paying $1000 less in taxes next year, have you taken something from the
government that rightfully belongs to it? Or has the government simply taken
less from you?
You
don`t cost the government money, the government costs you money!
Of
course it`s reasonable to demand that politicians cut spending when they cut
taxes. That`s the definition of real fiscal conservatism: government should
not take too much from the private economy in taxes, but neither should it
spend too much and run up deficits. That`s why I vote against the wasteful
appropriations bills that relentlessly increase federal spending year after
year.
I
reject the notion that tax cuts harm the economy. The economy suffers when
government takes money from your paycheck that you otherwise would spend, save,
or invest. Taxes never create prosperity. Private-sector innovation and
productivity are the engines that drive our economy, regardless of what
politicians tell us.
Tax
reduction is my first priority in Congress. The reality is that most
working Americans lose about half of their incomes to federal, state, and local taxes.
"Tax Freedom Day," representing the portion of the year you must work to pay for
government at all levels, is roughly June 1st for most Americans. Imagine
all of your hard work this year between January and the end of May going to the
government!
One
tax in particular should be eliminated as soon as possible-- the tax on Social
Security benefits. Those benefits were never taxed between the 1930s and
1984. Treating them as taxable income represents nothing more than a trick to
reduce Social Security benefits by stealth. I supported legislation that
successfully repealed a 1993 tax increase on benefits, and my own bill, HR 180,
would go further and eliminate all taxes on Social Security. Our seniors paid
taxes throughout their working lives to fund the Social Security system, and it
is immoral to tax them again on their benefits.
Various
other taxes also must be reduced. Capital gains taxes are terribly
counterproductive, punishing those who save and invest. Payroll taxes impose a
tremendous compliance burden on businesses, especially smaller entrepreneurs
who cannot hire an accounting department. Federal gas taxes should be slashed
to provide taxpayers relief at the pump. Most importantly, federal spending
must be dramatically reduced so that all Americans can go back to working for
themselves instead of working to pay their taxes.
The following is reprinted
from the website of Congressman Ron Paul (R-Texas) at http://www.house.gov/paul/. It is a
public domain document and can be reprinted freely.
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Thank you
for reading this issue of the Prosperity Alert. Feel free to pass this along to
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next issue will be in your email inbox sooner than you think.
Regards,
Paul Mladjenovic
Email: paul@mladjenovic.com
Tel: 201-585-0239
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