2006 - Staring into the Abyss
by Paul Mladjenovic
These are some of the concerns that can wreak havoc on your financial picture:
- Housing Bubble continues to deflate
- Federal Budget and Trade deficits keep ballooning
- Pension funding shortfalls continue to grow
- Money supply to keep expanding
- China and India absorbing more of worlds resources
- More tension with Iraq, Iran and other oil-exporting nations
- Venezuela threatens increase anti-US rhetoric
- Peak Oil is almost here
- Bird flu and other health scares
- The continuing specter of terrorism
- Natural disasters (hurricanes, earthquakes, etc.)
- Personal, government and corporate debt grows more burdensome
This is not a
complete list (yikes!). Yes, some of these issues could pass with little effect
in the US. Most of them are quite serious and could cause major economic
problems. The problem is that many of these concerns will probably become
dangerous realities in the coming months and years. Millions in our society
alone will get blind-sided economically by one or more of these problems. In my
belief, an economic downturn is a certainty and to me the question will be how
severe will it be? It could be a recession and it has the realistic potential
to be a depression. The structural economic problems are so massive in their scope
that it is entirely possible that a depression that could meet or even exceed
the severity of the Great Depression is not out of the question. What we must
understand is that some issues are now unavoidable and will undoubtedly cause
great pain to our nation. I rate Peak Oil and our massive debt load in this
category.
We can not
solve America`s problems but we can take more control over our own situations.
I think that the year 2006 will be a watershed year. We will stare into the
abyss. We need re-assess our finances to minimize the problems and to maximize
the gains. My first suggestion is that everyone should become as
self-sufficient as possible.
You should
do a two-pronged approach to accomplish this. The first prong is passive and
the second is active. Passive is a reference to your finances and investments.
The second is a reference to you ability to generate revenue in a job or
business (or both). Here are some things that you should immediately do (or at
least consider):
- Reduce
your debt and spending
- Increase
savings and have an emergency fund
- Use stop
loss orders in your stock portfolio
- Review
your skills to keep yourself employable
- Start a
part-time home business
- Increase
your holdings of gold, silver and energy-related investments
- Implement
energy savings programs
- Get rid
of your SUV and buy an efficient car
- Consider
(solarizing) your home
- Get rid
of (depreciating) assets (sell your stuff on Ebay, etc.)
There is
much more that you can do. In future issues we will deal with more issues and
strategies. This month is my 25th anniversary of being in business.
I want to commemorate this proud moment for me with something that I believe is
outrageous, powerful and timely. Therefore, please consider the
following.
My 25th Anniversary Seminar Special Offer
Most of you
know that the cornerstone of my business is education. My first seminar was in
1983 and I become a national public speaker in 1986. In fact, this June will mark
2 full decades of teaching about investing and business start-up. My two
landmark seminars were (The $25 Wealth-Builder) and (Home
Business Goldmine). This one two punch are perfect starting points for your
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TO ORDER:
Both seminars will be on digital audio CD for $17 or on regular audio CDs (6 CDs) for $37.
Send check to:
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NOTE:
New Jersey residents add 6% sales tax. All orders are 30-day 100% money-back guarantees. CDs will be shipped within 1-2 weeks.
*IMPORTANT: All orders must be postmarked by March 31, 2006.
Harry Browne: A Great Man and Sad Note
This month Harry
Browne died at the young age of 72. Although I only met him personally once
some years ago at a libertarian convention in Washington, DC, I feel this as a
personal loss. He ran for President in 1996 and 2000. How America could have benefited from his service! He probably understood the economy better
than any presidential candidate in recent decades and his astute insights will
be sorely missed. He was a great financial advisor, author, commentator and a
wonderful human being. God bless him! I am sure that his family, friends and
supporters will continue his works. I encourage all of you to find out more
about Harry Browne and read his excellent essays and books. He was a regular
commentator at www.freemarketnews.com
and you can find his outstanding investment books in places such as www.laissezfaire.org. A neat little
book that I have recommended of his is (Fail-Safe Investing).
PARTY ON
by James Cook
Here is a great essay by James Cook (www.investmentrarities.com).
I want to thank him for allowing me to reprint this:
BEST OF JIM COOK
March 7, 2006
An
interesting new book by columnist Bruce Bartlett delivers a stinging attack on
the big spending ways of the current administration. The book has a most
damning title, "Impostor: How George W. Bush Bankrupted America and
Betrayed the Reagan Legacy."
First off,
let me say that I voted twice for Mr. Bush, primarily because his liberal
opponents meant higher taxes and more government. We can agree that he means
well, but let`s face it, he is making government bigger and more obtrusive than
ever. Mr. Bartlett writes, "Philosophically, he has more in common with
liberals, who see no limits to state power as long as it is used to advance
what they think is right. In the same way, Bush has used government to pursue a
conservative agenda as he sees it. But that is something that runs totally
contrary to the restraints and limits to power inherent in the very nature of
traditional conservatism. It is inconceivable to traditional conservatives that
there could ever be such a thing as (big government conservatism) a term often
used to describe Bushs philosophy."
No matter
how often the government fails, the vast majority of Americans continue to rely
on government solutions for whatever problems crop up. Mr. Bush certainly is
one of these. Like most politicians, he believes that government can be made to
run smoothly and effectively. Mr. Bartlett sums it up. "Right from the
beginning, George W. Bush made it clear that he was not a conservative in the
Reagan mold. Even in front of explicitly conservative audiences, Bush
continued his theme that government was not the enemy; it just was not being
used for the proper ends."
In spite of
this brave talk about making government more efficient, an alphabet soup of
government failures plague the administration; CIA, FBI, FEMA, CBO AND INS to
name a few. What does it take to make politicians see that government is the
worst choice for problem solving? Why does government meddling so often make
matters worse? It is because without a bottom line, government has no compass.
Without profit or loss there is no objective standard to measure results. Businesses
try to cut costs while governments only know how to ask for more money.
Furthermore, with affirmative action and credentialism replacing merit in
hiring and promotion, talent dries up and diligence goes unrewarded. Congress
requires government to follow so many rules they have no flexibility or
creativity. Apathy, lack of motivation, waste and bad service plague the
government. They will never be more than a bungling bureaucracy. Nevertheless,
the next set of candidates will be confident they can make government work
efficiently. They never learn.
The mindset
that government will solve our problems is ruining America. It fosters
socialism through installments. Each candidate uses the government to implement
their pet schemes. The $540 billion prescription entitlement was one of Mr.
Bushs favored giveaways. According to Mr. Bartlett, "the Medicare drug
bill may well be the worst piece of legislation ever enacted.It will cost vast
sums the nation cannot afford.It will inevitably lead to higher taxes and
price controls that will reduce the supply of new lifesaving drugs."
The great
freedom philosopher Leonard Read wrote in 1961, the "extent to which the
government has assumed the responsibility for the security, welfare and
prosperity of our people is a measure of the extent to which socialism has
developed here in this land of ours."
Mr. Read
pointed out that government will print money to pay their bills when it is no
longer politically expedient to raise taxes. They do not hesitate to inflate the
money supply and water down the value of the money. Said Mr. Read, "Many
people do not realize that they cannot continue to enjoy so-called (benefits)
from government without having to pay for them. They do not appreciate the fact
that inflation is probably the most unjust and cruelest tax of all. What
precisely is this disease that causes inflation and all these other troubles?
It has many popular names, such as socialism, communism, state interventionism,
and welfare statism."
The size of
our government and its spending are running out of control. Pork barrel
spending (earmarks) have doubled and redoubled. Foreign aid, war costs and
educational spending are surging wildly. Government housing, disaster relief,
corporate welfare, and farm subsidies are burgeoning, including those for
expensive gasohol. It takes more than a gallon of gas to make a gallon of
heavily subsidized gasohol.
Medicare,
Medicaid and Prescription Drug payments threaten to break the budget. Every day
tens of thousands of retirees undergo expensive surgeries and costly medical
treatments. Incalculable numbers of prescriptions are written or renewed.
Hospitals are full to the brim and diagnostic procedures maxed out. The Wall
Street Journal reports that some new cancer drugs cost up to $100,000 a month.
Scores of new drugs and treatments are being rushed to market. The more you
subsidize the more you get. The heated demand for a scarce resource (that is
free) drives the price of health care into orbit. Now come the baby boomers.
It is not
going to work. If you are born after 1965 these social costs will be
unaffordable when it is your turn. The currency will either be worthless or the
government will be bankrupt. Socialism can only work until the goose that laid
the golden egg is dead. It is a free lunch now but you are going to get the
crumbs. Assume you are going to have to fend for yourself. By doing so, you will
not only become financially independent, you will also become a bulwark against
socialism. That will be of great value in the final showdown between a broken
welfare state and limited government.
James Cook
Investment Rarities
www.investmentrarities.com
“Stock Investing for Dummies” the 2nd edition is now available!
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Thank you
for reading this issue of the Prosperity Alert. Feel free to pass this along to
others (unchanged, of course) or encourage them to get their own free
subscription at www.SuperMoneyLinks.com. The
next issue will be in your email inbox sooner than you think.
Regards,
Paul Mladjenovic
Email: paul@mladjenovic.com
Tel: 201-585-0239
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